The Federal Government’s proposed changes to negative gearing threaten to worsen the housing crisis, leaving Australia’s 2.9 million renting households vulnerable. By restricting tax incentives to new builds, the policy discourages investment in the established market, where most investors and renters actually operate.
This move effectively slashes the resale market for new properties, driving investors toward other asset classes and stalling supply. Furthermore, it assumes new developments can replace established homes near vital infrastructure, a gap that regional markets cannot fill. Instead of genuine reform, this policy is a gamble that risks supply and drives rents even higher.
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The Federal Budget has introduced major property tax reforms: from 1 July 2027, negative gearing will be restricted to new builds, while existing properties remain “grandfathered” if purchased before 12 May 2026. Additionally, the 50% CGT discount will be replaced by an inflation-adjusted indexation system with a 30% minimum tax.
While intended to boost supply and help first-home buyers, these changes risk discouraging investment in established homes, potentially shifting price pressures into the rental market rather than solving the underlying housing shortage.
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